Nguyen Hoang Quy

Nguyen Hoang Quy

par HUF04 Nguyễn Hoàng Quý,
  1. Why is it important not to assume causality from a correlation result?

Because two variables moving together does not mean one causes the other. Correlation only ...

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  1. Why is it important not to assume causality from a correlation result?

Because two variables moving together does not mean one causes the other. Correlation only indicates a statistical association, which can be caused by third-party variables, coincidence, or reverse causality, leading to false conclusions, bad decisions, and poor scientific understanding. 

2. Can you give an example of a spurious correlation (where two variables seem related but actually aren’t)?

Ex: ice cream sales and drowning deaths both increase during the summer. They appear related, but ice cream does not cause drowning; both are driven by a third, hidden variable: hotter weather. The correlation is coincidental, not causal.